GTA VI will be a disappointing masterpiece

June 16, 2025 / gbl08ma / 0 Comments

How do you make a sequel to the highest-grossing entertainment product of all time, which is also the second most sold video game after Minecraft? A yet unreleased sequel so impactful in online culture, that its trailers break YouTube viewership records and get recreated by fans, not just in dozens of other games, but also in live action, with the involvement of brands and personalities which would normally be disconnected from the games industry. A sequel that, years away from its release, already had multiple podcasts dedicated specifically to its discussion; a successor which is almost guaranteed to break sales records yet again, even if it were to somehow get a worse critical reception than its predecessors.

This is the question that thousands of people over at Rockstar Games have been working to answer for over a decade; an answer which millions of fans have been waiting to examine for nearly as long, while desperately trying to decipher every hint of Rockstar’s progress on Grand Theft Auto VI. It would be extremely unlikely for the final product not to be critically acclaimed, but it being unanimously perceived as nearly perfect would be equally improbable: no piece of media with such a large and diverse audience can possibly fully align with the preferences of every single fan. When the dust settles, every single one of us shall have remarks to note in the scorecard, while still recognizing how much of a masterpiece it will be.

I find the anticipation around certain high-profile game releases, particularly this one, to be positively refreshing. After all, video games are software, but such anticipation presents a stark contrast to the way many current software innovations appear to be pushed down users’ throats – an increasingly common feeling as more software is delivered as continuously evolving services, rather than individually acquirable major releases. This level of widespread anticipation doesn’t really occur for any other type of software anymore, and hasn’t for a long time: even limiting ourselves to the consumer space and going back a decade, if a new Office, Gmail or Instagram redesign had been delayed for a year, there would be hardly any uproar. There were no “we got [thing] before Windows 11” memes, and anything AI has too many socioeconomic implications to be consensual for the foreseeable future.

The fact that plenty of people still look forward to new games, even as they seem uninterested in most other software developments, is unsurprising: games are entertainment and not tools (usually); people are free to choose what games they play, and don’t generally feel that a choice was forced upon them, so it is natural that they will spend some of their time making such choices, and being excited about upcoming options that they think will suit them. Then, considering that there isn’t a lack of new games being made, the fact that millions of people choose to be interested in GTA VI is proof of the great work that Rockstar Games has done over the years – as is the fact that some of them seem to mainly be interested in loudly complaining that it won’t be to their liking, as if a) they were entitled to having an upcoming GTA title that’s to their liking, and b) they already knew that, tragically, it won’t suit their preferences.

A plethora of displeased pleas

Living up to the full expectations and preferences of millions of players is impossible. Grand Theft Auto V certainly didn’t: some players complained about how the game was missing features and mechanics from prior titles (notably, from Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas); others complained that the story felt weak, missing gravitas, with “plastic” and over-the-top characters that didn’t feel particularly likeable, or with underwhelming endings; others criticized how the world did not offer many structured activities once players are done with the story and the secondary missions, making it a bit less appealing than the worlds of previous games. The mission design also received criticisms for being restrictive, limiting player creativity; this NakeyJakey video includes insightful criticism of such aspects.

A likely larger set of players was left satisfied with the quality of the single-player content, but not its quantity: some wanted an even longer story, others wanted expansions in the style of those made for Grand Theft Auto IV; largely thanks to the theft of GTA V’s source code, today it is known that the initial vision for the game encompassed such single-player DLCs, as well as additional missions and mechanics that, at best, were possibly adapted into GTA Online content, years later.

None of the criticism prevented GTA V from breaking a handful of sales records within the first week of release back in 2013, later becoming the second most sold game of all time, after Minecraft – whose first barebones release had happened three years prior. Reports indicate that, by now, GTA V has generated close to $10 billion in revenue. Yet you won’t have to scour very deep to find good numbers of people saying they preferred one of the earlier GTA titles – whose revenue, combined, didn’t surpass that of GTA V alone.

Great games sell well, but the individual preferences of the player base are hardly fully aligned with revenue numbers. Fortunately, people don’t just play the games they think are perfect. A vast set of mostly satisfied players is definitely more profitable than an extremely satisfied, but smaller, cult following. Will GTA VI be able to appease a record number of people without irreparably disappointing the most devout fans of the series?

I doubt anyone who is looking forward to VI’s release wants to acknowledge this now, but despite the massive budget and development time that went into it, it’s certain that once the dust settles, a good number of GTA fans will continue to prefer the earlier titles, eventually just because of nostalgia. The earlier games have always had fewer fans (for a start, they were released to a smaller, less developed market), but those who revisit these older titles regularly, are the ones who really like them.

Regarding fan nostalgia, the appearance of a PlayStation-like console in the second GTA VI trailer led to some of the wilder speculation going around, according to which the 2002 game Grand Theft Auto: Vice City would be playable within GTA VI, to some extent. In my opinion, this is technically feasible, and would be a fun way for Rockstar to cheekily satisfy those nostalgic players. It is however something which might not have a good reason to exist in the game, besides being a cool technology demo and a novelty. I don’t think it is very high in anyone’s wishlist.

Speaking of speculation, that’s exactly what I am partaking in. I think I’ve made mostly agreeable, low-risk predictions so far – perhaps even disappointingly so – but from reading the title alone, I am sure that many would be quick to trash me in the comments, claiming I hate the game, or Rockstar, or something along those lines, just by alluding to the quite basic notion that a piece of art can’t possibly be perfect to everyone. Fortunately, this is not one of those common social platforms, this is the great innovation called the “personal blog,” one where I encourage such individuals who don’t know what nuance is, to either leave their thoughts in their head or to publish them elsewhere, preferably some place where I won’t be notified about them.

It’s never too late to speculate

I am not truly qualified to speculate on what GTA VI will or won’t be, but then again, who is? Most of the fans speculating, even the most respected social media personalities in the space, don’t have game development experience. More interestingly, I would say that game developers, even those with experience in the very genre of open-world action-adventure titles, and even former Rockstar employees from decades past, likely don’t have enough experience to accurately comment on GTA VI development matters.

We are talking about a game whose budget is the highest of all time, with a development timeline that’s by far the longest of all the games in the series, a level of public anticipation that beats all games except perhaps juggernaut series like Half-Life, and the naturally high ambition that comes with making a successor to the highest-grossing entertainment product of all time. It’s also being developed by what may be the most secretive company in its space. All combined, this is a really unique circumstance. It is safe to say that the only people who could possibly make accurate comments on the development of GTA VI would be those who are working on it, and maybe not even them.

My impression from the leaks and rumors over the years, is that most people working at Rockstar Games are not aware of many of the aspects of their upcoming games. This type of “confusion” doesn’t even have to come from active efforts to keep people in the dark: I work for a company that’s roughly one tenth the size, and I don’t know basically anything about most of the ongoing initiatives – and this is at a place that’s very internally transparent, and where I could easily get information about anything that goes on in the business by just asking… and by paying a bit more attention in all-hands meetings. There’s usually just so much information that isn’t all that relevant to one’s specific role, that it’s easy not to be well-versed in it all.

Note that the development of GTA VI is uncharted territory even for Rockstar Games themselves. This is their usual form, anyway: I think that for every game they’ve made, they’ve never significantly repeated their own development processes, and their ambition has always increased significantly. The story of how VI will have come to be, will certainly be quite different from that of IV and V. Between the lack of visibility most employees probably have into the details of how the process is going, and the fact that it is a complex and lengthy one with plenty of space for small changes to be made still, I wouldn’t take any insider accounts as gospel, even when they are truthful to the source’s perceptions.

One recurring comment I’ve seen online is, paraphrasing, to “let them [Rockstar] cook,” when it comes to discussing leaks, rumors and personal wishlists for the next GTA title – as if public comments were detrimental to the game’s development. The way I see things, we can comment and speculate all we want; people always have, people always will. Of all game developers, I feel that Rockstar is one of the best at shielding themselves from outsider opinions about in-progress work, and the best at only showing to the public what they actually want the world to see (extraordinary circumstances, like the 2022 leaks, notwithstanding). As long as people are not being disrespectful or harassing employees, I doubt speculation is causing any harm, and everything insider sources have ever shared about the topic points to them having great fun with how wrong the fan theories often are.

Some of the rumors currently going around take for granted that GTA VI is currently playable from start to finish and that the game only needs “polishing.” While I definitely believe the former, I highly doubt the latter, unless we use a extremely broad definition of “polishing.” That the story can be played through doesn’t mean that more secondary content like side-missions, open world activities, soundtrack production, and even transversal aspects like localization are finalized – and I don’t think the work on those would count as mere “polish.” After all, there is so much to a GTA game besides the more linear story aspects.

Other rumors point towards the story not even being finalized yet, with the final chapter(s) being stuck in development hell. For me, it is very difficult to believe that the story doesn’t have a conclusion, or set of possible conclusions, written yet. However, I can picture scenarios where the final missions are difficult to realize exactly as originally written, or where the developers have trouble getting these last moments to evoke the desired emotions, and the additional iterations required to deliver good storytelling are causing some churn. I can also imagine a scenario where the story has different possible endings, Rockstar wants the post-credits gameplay to be affected differently by the consequences of those endings, and it’s the realization of these consequences that is taking more effort than expected. Through a game of broken telephone – and a lot of these rumors seem to come from sources that know sources – the rumor would end up becoming that the final chapter is in development hell.

It’s interesting how we know so little about the development of such a giant project that each of us can easily believe rumors that are essentially incompatible with each other, while we are less than a year from the currently targeted release date and have seen two trailers already. It’s particularly amusing, given that the game’s “unofficial trailer” consisted in so much leaked content, including plenty of developer captures originally shared in Rockstar’s Slack workspace. GTA VI is so vast that this much content still doesn’t come close to even telling half of the story.

Personally, I highly doubt Rockstar would need an entire year just for “polish,” particularly since we’re talking about a company with more than sufficient people to tackle many different problems simultaneously. But what “polishing” encompasses varies between points of view, and Rockstar has used this word in the past as a way to justify delays without having to commit to any details. They did so when delaying Red Dead Redemption 2 for the second time, and previously when delaying the original release of GTA V on PC. I don’t see “polish” as anything other than marketing speak for “it isn’t done because it isn’t done.”

The fictional past doesn’t explain the fictional future

Despite having a radically different setting than GTA VI, Red Dead Redemption 2 has been used as the basis for some of the fan expectations and theories about the how the upcoming GTA title is going to play, all the way from particular game mechanics, to the way the story will unfold.

This very much comes down to personal taste, but I am not too enthralled by the notion of a GTA game thats feels too much like RDR 2 did. The level of world detail and visual quality of the latter is top notch, and the GTA VI trailers show that we’ll continue to see improvements in this front. But I wasn’t a fan of the clear separation of the chapters in the story of RDR 2, nor the generally slower-paced storytelling. Despite its world having more structured activities to pursue, even after the completion of the story, I think its setting and the design of certain game mechanics didn’t encourage the “go anywhere, mess around and find out” type of gameplay that’s been a staple of GTA games since the first 3D entry in the series.

Don’t get me wrong, there are plenty of ways to have that chaotic sandbox type of fun in RDR 2 – and one can argue that the absurdity of the chaos is only increased by the serious world tone. However, to me, RDR 2 is at its best when it is either in peaceful mode or when it is presenting mission-driven action/combat; more violent emergent gameplay didn’t feel so good to me, causing very a palpable ludonarrative dissonance that took me out of the immersion. I never felt that with the same intensity in a GTA game; maybe I’m just bad at playing as a low honor Arthur? With this said, I appreciated the more serious stories of RDR 2 and of GTA IV, compared to that of V. My hope is that Rockstar will be able to once again tell a dramatic high-stakes story, while making it feel more action-packed than RDR 2 felt to me, and while still allowing the unfettered chaotic fun moments to naturally take place.

I don’t think all of the fan favorite mechanics of RDR 2 would work well in a GTA game and my view is that the two series have different audiences. In practice these are not wholly disjoint groups of people, but when someone goes to play a GTA game, they’re often looking for an experience that is not exactly that which the Red Dead Redemption games offer; in each of those moments, that hypothetical player may as well be two different people. I would almost argue that the essential aspects of GTA gameplay have to be somewhat “simplified” compared to those of RDR 2. It’s also important to note that the audience for a GTA game is broader than that of RDR, if for nothing else, just because the former is a much more popular brand. Naturally, Rockstar wants players to enjoy their purchase and I would be slightly disappointed but not surprised if, for the lack of a better term, they decided to “dumb down” the core mechanics of their GTA titles compared to those of RDR.

For a specific example of a possible mechanic I am not too excited about, one rumored change in GTA VI is that instead of carrying all weapons at all times, each playable character will have a more limited inventory and there will be relatively frequent opportunities to make changes to those inventories. Essentially, road vehicles would be what horses were in RDR, storing your other weapons and some inventory items. This would require players to think more actively about what weapons to carry at each time – making things more complex, which I am not sure is a positive change. But I also see how this would improve realism and allow the “personal vehicle” to have more impact in how the game is played. In prior GTA titles, outside of specific missions, what vehicle you drove in the open world didn’t really matter, so such an inventory system could be a way to make the concept of the personal vehicle more relevant. It’s an increased “level of detail” for sure, but I suspect such mechanics would feel limiting in those moments where one mainly wants to mess around in some power-tripping fever dream.

Betrayal was one of the main themes of the RDR 2 story and it is already understood, since the first trailer, that the story of GTA VI will revolve around trust. Many people seem convinced that, in the style of what happened in the story of the 2018 release, the two protagonists will betray each other, either out of their own volition or because external forces lead them into it. Two of the three possible GTA V endings also consisted on protagonists turning on each other. If that indeed turns out to be the main plot device once again, then the fact that “everyone” has seen it coming is enough to explain why I’d be disappointed. I am hopeful Rockstar will avoid repeating the same note in essentially the same way, and will be able to deliver something more surprising and equally as intense.

This cutting room floor can fit/fix so many leaks

With such a humongous budget and prolonged development timeline, it’s safe to assume that GTA VI will also have the greatest amount of what’s colloquially described as “cut content:” early concepts that didn’t pan out, removed gameplay mechanics, abandoned plot arcs in the main story, world locations that never came to be, unused voice lines, sound effects and original soundtracks… there are endless categories of things that could fall to the floor of the cutting room of this type of game. In fact, there’s probably enough space in the development history of VI to fit the production of an entirely different game, and if what has been rumored about “Project Americas” is to be believed, that’s sufficiently close to what happened, at the very least, pre-production wise.

For those unaware of this “Project Americas,” because not too much is known for certain, a quick summary follows: this was, allegedly, an early concept for GTA VI that was in (pre-)production from as early as 2012 until circa 2020. The action was meant to take place, at least in part, throughout the 70s, 80s and 90s and in multiple cities from both North and South America, with the main theme allegedly being the coke trade. Some aspects of these allegations have been confirmed by reports from respected journalists like Jason Schreier and Stephen Totilo, but they’ve also denied some of the associated theories floating around. According to this line of speculation, at some point, these initial plans were thoroughly changed or exchanged for ones with a more modest scope, leading us to the current GTA VI concept that entered full production at some point between 2020 and 2022.

Within GTA datamining circles, some believe that many of the assets made for this earlier game concept ended up being repurposed and adapted for GTA Online’s Cayo Perico, a location which conveniently has a South American theme. It is unknown whether the upcoming GTA game retained the “Project Americas” codename, or whether we are free to use that to exclusively refer to the allegedly canned plans – why do people with access to Rockstar insiders never think of asking these pressing questions?

Personally, I believe that Dan Houser’s departure from Rockstar Games in March 2020 may be connected to this change of plans, but the direction of causality is unclear. Regardless, even though I can’t quite explain why, I find more appealing the idea of yet another GTA taking place in the present day, than that of a historical piece like the original Vice City. I would like to see Rockstar explore that original Americas concept, but within its own new IP – if they’re ever going to move away from GTA and RDR, that is.

If the development of VI really was kind of rebooted at some point, certainly that doesn’t mean that the previous effort was completely wasted: for example, progress in areas like the core of the game engine and development tooling is always going to be cumulative, and as mentioned, it is believed that some of the world design and asset modelling efforts were repurposed for GTA Online, while others were likely still valid for the current Vice City concept. A well-preserved 80s car is supposed to look and sound the same no matter if it’s 1985 or 2025, after all.

With Rockstar being busy with the release of GTA V and the development and release of RDR 2, I find it unlikely that “Project Americas” ever went significantly beyond a pre-production phase. To enter full production, I believe that most resources would only have become available after the release of RDR 2. This means that “Project Americas” received full-steam development focus for just one to two years before the supposed change of plans. In decades past this would be enough time for Rockstar to make a hit, but in the latter half of the last decade, that was really not the pace and scope they were aiming for.

So why would this intriguing concept not move towards a final product? One hypothesis is that, as more concrete aspects came together – including, perhaps, playable vertical slices – they did not pass the internal vibe checks, prompting a deep rethink of the entire thing. Another possibility is that writers and stakeholders, due to irreconcilable visions regarding what ideas would be most commercially successful, could not agree on a finalized concept for the story and setting – this would be the narrative where Dan Houser’s departure could be connected, but we have no proof of such connection.

For the hypothetical reboot of the GTA VI concept, the justification I favor the most is really just that of scope management: Rockstar likely realized that, with the great-but-certainly-not-infinite resources and time at their disposal, they could release three or four GTA Vs worth of content in that single game – one Los Santos’ worth per each desired combo of city/historical setting – but without being able to meaningfully advance the quality of the storytelling and gameplay within each of these separate settings. Instead, they decided to focus on a single location and time period as per usual, to deliver something that is, simultaneously, undoubtedly perceived as “next generation” while also being “safer” from a business perspective – matching what, I wager, are the expectations of most current GTA fans for what a GTA game should be.

I wanted to explore what might have become of the alleged “Project Americas” mainly to drive home the notion that, if rumors are to be even just partially believed, Rockstar is not afraid to give up on concepts that they’re not particularly happy about, perhaps even shelving good parts of multi-year efforts. Therefore, just because something was seen in the infamous leaks of 2022, or even any subsequent leaks, that doesn’t mean that something is confirmed to be in GTA VI. The cutting room floor for GTA VI is definitely more expanded and enhanced than any published GTA V edition ever was.

Lots of time, lots of money and lots of people contributing towards the same project allows for plenty of experimentation and perceived “waste.” Entire concepts, mechanics, features, locations, characters, story lines… they may all come and go, and come back only to be abandoned again. Incompatible options being worked on in parallel, explicitly to be pitted against each other, with just the best fit surviving. With this in mind, it’s expected that many of those working on the game still don’t actually know what will make the final cut. Besides, the videos and information obtained from the intrusion into Rockstar’s Slack space in 2022 showed lots of content that was already outdated even back then, so imagine what may have happened after three more years and with one still left to go until release.

Fan initiatives like the GTA VI mapping project have taken much of what these leaks showed as fact, as proof that certain features will be in the final product, or that certain parts of the world will look a certain way. While, map-wise, the trailers and official screenshots have been mostly consistent with the leaks, the relative stability of the already known parts of the map doesn’t tell us anything about the many other aspects of the game. For example, some fans became convinced that the playable characters would be able to go prone, because it was shown in a leaked test video, but it could be something that was never finished, which was later removed for the sake of simplifying player movement options, or which will only be available in very limited scenarios.

Similarly, features that exist in prior Rockstar titles don’t necessarily have to be present in GTA VI, and even when they are seen in those leaked videos, for all we know, they might be visible there only because they were already implemented from a previous game. Later, someone may decide to remove them, or maybe they break as development goes on, and fixing them isn’t considered a priority. For a random example: bowling did not reappear in GTA V.

In the past, I wondered whether the 2022 leaks would lead to Rockstar changing aspects of the game so that it wouldn’t be as spoiled by the leaks, or to claim victory over the hackers in some way, by purposefully invalidating the extracted information. We now know that the main protagonists haven’t changed, but some of the most recent rumors – which I don’t find particularly convincing – mention that certain side-missions featured in the leaks have been cut. If that’s true, I don’t think the leaks will have been the main motivation. In the particular example mentioned by that gossip, the relevant leaked-and-allegedly-cut dialogue involved Jay Norris (parody of the Zuckerberg-like personality), so perhaps the true motivation for this particular removal had to do with real world developments around social networks like Twitter/X and TikTok. Regardless of whether the leaks led to changes in writing, the combination of the ever-expanding cutting room floor with the release of more marketing materials will gradually decrease the relevance of the improperly publicized data. This will, quite literally, fix the leaks.

In addition to people’s ideas changing over time, people working on the game also come and go. I mentioned Dan Houser’s departure, and there was also Lazlow Jones’s departure, and years earlier, Leslie Benzies’s not-so-peaceful departure (who went on to direct MindsEye, the infamous self-inflicted disaster of a game). These are just the well-known names; plenty of other people, most certainly including some people in positions of artistic direction, have come and gone over the twelve years since GTA V’s release and nearly seven years since RDR 2’s release. As people come and go, ideas gain and lose champions; within Rockstar, the opinion about what a present day GTA game should be like will keep changing all the way up to the release of VI, even as an increasing number of aspects are gradually finalized.

Between the possible canning of the entire original concept for the game and the more mundane iterations all game aspects go through, I can’t help but wonder if, once the dust settles, we will end up feeling that the breadth and depth of GTA VI doesn’t represent what was expected of a twelve year wait for a sequel. Sure, we must keep in mind that RDR 2 was developed and released in the meantime. But even with that in account, we must acknowledge that the passage of time, by itself, introduces inefficiencies and confounds the development process.

Besides the mentioned evolution of ideas coming from within Rockstar, the world outside their studios also kept advancing throughout this decade: technology capabilities, players’ expectations, and investors’ expectations are all amplified now. It’s not like Rockstar will take their ideas from the mid 2010s, get thousands of socially distant monks to put ten years of linear effort into their next game, and release a game from 2013 in 2026. They certainly have spent some effort just keeping up with the times, and that may have caused more back-and-forth than anyone will be able to accurately account for.

We can’t do anything about how much and what content gets cut, nor about whether our most desired combination of concepts and features ends up making the release, so I think the next best thing we can hope for, is a repeat of what happened with GTA V, where some of the cut content and mechanics eventually were repurposed or reimplemented in later expansions. And if I’m allowed to dream a bit more, then let’s hope they won’t be exclusive to Online.

It won’t be a Grand Kitchen Sink

It’s impossible to throw every possible gameplay mechanic, every single movement feature, every imaginable story arc at the same wall, and have them all stick the landing. I am not sure GTA VI was ever intended to be the “everything game” the way some apps want to be the “everything app;” such a proposition would definitely appeal to shareholders, and may even sound nice to many players, but realistically it’s impossible to define.

What genre would an “everything game” be? If one nevertheless tries to make such a thing, I think the result would be confusing to play, would struggle to tell any story, and could be too overwhelming to not even be a good sandbox/simulation game – more or less as soon as players reached the part where one, after dusting the virtual pantry in a detailed minigame of sorts, has to realistically craft their explosives from household parts… eventually getting interrupted and having spend real years in fake prison, from which an army of space units can be assembled in order to break us out, but only after we build an efficient factory to turn raw materials into such units (alternatively, one can post bail with real credit cards!). Oh and there would be chess, and poker, and soccer, and real money gambling somewhere in that “everything game,” too.

It’s easy to ask for features when we don’t actually have them all implemented to try out simultaneously. But one may argue that some of the mechanics people commonly mention – like limited weapon inventories, realistic vehicle fuel consumption, more complex police behaviors, an economy with more depth to it, more varied and impactful character customization options, and so on – have actually been implemented, and in GTA V no less, by modders, including in roleplay (RP) servers. This is notable, as some of these things sound like they’d be more challenging in multiplayer contexts. If motivated hobbyists can make things happen, why won’t Rockstar?

It’s true that GTA RP has been very successful, but is it the type of experience that the next game should be designed around? I don’t think so. I don’t believe that such mechanics are sought after by the majority of the GTA audience. I doubt most people look to GTA games as a general purpose “real life simulator” or even “profession simulator,” which is what, from my point of view, most RP servers try to be (to different degrees of depth or “seriousness”). My belief is that most players want GTA to present a good diorama of the real world with some good satire, some violent action and some appealing human physique mixed in, but they don’t want to simulate anyone’s real lives in great detail; that’s not what most people look for in fiction, anyway. The fact that the world and base mechanics of modern GTA games make pretty good basis for RP games is coincidental.

I think most roleplayers would agree that some of the mechanics found in RP servers would get in the way of effective storytelling and would generally reduce the entertainment factor if they were a mandatory aspect of a GTA game. Even considering GTA Online exclusively, and for all the faults of Online: I would miss the non-RP official experience if RP servers were the only multiplayer option available.

I think it is positive to allow “RP-like interactions” to happen whenever they don’t disturb the “regular” gameplay, but I am really not looking forward to a GTA game full of slow, action-blocking animations like the many in RDR 2. At the same time, I will be slightly sad if certain aspects of real life are not better represented in GTA VI, with the aforementioned fuel consumption being one of them. Balancing all systems will be the art of the craft. Maybe that’s what they mean by “polishing,” after all, in which case I can definitely see one year worth of work feeling short.

Then there are features which don’t really interfere with any other features, and whose presence will be up to how Rockstar decided to allocate resources, specifically, how much they’ve decided to spend on things that are not essential to the storytelling. One example is the sports activities: in theory, the game can contain everything from fighting to basketball, including tennis, football and soccer, golf, heck, even esports could be featured! Would it make sense? Probably not, but would it be impressive from a “look how many things this game has” perspective? Definitely!

The Politics Policy Police

For a game to act as a great diorama of the real world with some satire mixed in, it is inevitable that it will contain some references to the societies we live in. I’d say most story-driven games feature some level of social and political commentary. Sometimes it is more obvious and on-the-nose, sometimes it’s just in the subtext, or left to interpretation. Games by Rockstar have contained satire and commentary of all varieties and subtleties, and it’s impossible for GTA VI to not have some of it too.

The very mention of “Theft” and “Auto” in the title of the series implies that automobiles and crime will be involved – what does that say about our societies!? It definitely indicates that there is private property, crime, and automobiles, in our societies, and since it’s a game title, it implies that such aspects are liable to be portrayed in a video game! That is political commentary. Unfortunately, I doubt a game series called Grand Theft Train would have found the same level of success. What does that say about our societies?!! I can’t believe anyone would make such a conservative, consumerist game that simultaneously glorifies car-centric planning and has a biased recommendation of which vehicle types are worth stealing!

We know GTA VI will, once again, take place in a fictional version of the USA, in a present-day setting. Therefore, many current US-centric themes are to be expected. To people in some cultures or with certain political orientations, this focus in the US is, by itself, considered political commentary; what does that say about their societies?! I’m hearing this shtick is overused, so let’s move on. But really, it’ll be impossible for the next GTA not to touch politics, even if inadvertently, and nobody will be happy about how it will do so: if the game’s satire is more subtle than previous titles, some will complain “they’ve gone soft!” If it appears to be too overt in its criticism or very targeted in its mockeries, then, depending on the perceived political leaning of those artistic expressions, some will either complain that “it’s woke!” or that it has caved to corporate/conservative/right-wing interests. GTA VI could be perfectly balanced when it comes to criticism of the entire political spectrum, and many would still only see the parts that don’t align with their vision.

As usual, Rockstar’s mission will have been complete if absolutely everyone is outraged, and yet nobody resists playing the game, even if just to see what it’s actually about. I think everyone agrees that this developer likes to push the envelope of what mainstream games can feature, particularly in their GTA titles; to cause some controversy, or at least to spark public discussion, seems to have been a secondary goal for every game in the series. Sometimes the controversy doesn’t quite have the expected causes and gets out of control, like what happened in the infamous Hot Coffee case, back in the San Andreas days. Still, some healthy amount of it only helps the marketing efforts.

To tell the game’s main story, GTA V probably didn’t need a mission where players torture a random guy. However, the impact of the political commentary intended in it, would have been greatly diminished if the mission didn’t play out like that. Some players would definitely have preferred if such commentary remained more on the sidelines, where it could be more easily ignored. For many artists, one of the goals of their work is to evoke emotions and thoughts, but if the art can be easily ignored, then it can’t really do that. That mission is like guerilla street art that’s ugly and unnecessary, and yet impossible to ignore, created specifically to cause the public to react, to “feel something” – as cliché as that sounds. I hope GTA VI tries to make people feel something too, preferably without resorting to shock value.

In ten years, GTA VI might be seen as less of a period piece than how IV and V are seen today. While GTA has never been no latest news commentator, this next installment might focus even less on current topics and might even end up feeling like a “safer” art piece than previous titles. If that turns out to be the case, I don’t think it will have been necessarily due to Rockstar “going soft,” or because of pressure from investors, or anything like that. I think it’s more that recent years feel very fast-paced both within the US society and also worldwide; keeping up with such developments would be challenging in the context of the extended development period. Foregoing such actuality might be the only way to reach a decent end result.

Just five years ago, some people were rightfully worried that our collective stupidity might not outlast a virus; would you be satisfied if the representation of such topic went beyond a secondary mission or two in the world of Vice City? The problem with trying to capture the current world in a GTA game is that it could cause the game to age quite quickly and relatively badly, coming across as being tone deaf and out-of-touch with present times, rather than as good satire of a certain period of modern history. Certainly, Rockstar isn’t developing VI with the intention of releasing VII just two years later; they want the game to remain relevant and palatable for eventually as long as GTA V did, and in that sense, it would be prudent to focus more on the constants that never change, instead of capturing and mocking this decade’s personalities, recent trends and scandals. And what better place to portray people’s vices, than Vice City?

Going back to the alleged concept of “Project Americas,” I wonder if the idea to revisit the later decades of the 20th century was motivated by the difficulty of dealing with the uncertainty of the present time in the face of a lengthy production process. This excerpt from an interview Dan Houser gave to GQ Magazine two days prior to RDR 2’s release provides a lot of insight into how they were seeing the current world, back then:

Dan Houser is “thankful” he’s not releasing Grand Theft Auto 6 in the age of Trump. “It’s really unclear what we would even do with it, let alone how upset people would get with whatever we did,” says the co-founder of Rockstar Games. “Both intense liberal progression and intense conservatism are both very militant, and very angry. It is scary but it’s also strange, and yet both of them seem occasionally to veer towards the absurd. It’s hard to satirise for those reasons. Some of the stuff you see is straightforwardly beyond satire. It would be out of date within two minutes, everything is changing so fast.”

Source: GQ Magazine, October 24, 2018

The “age of Trump” never really went away, and Dan Houser left Rockstar before his first term was even over. Regardless of whether, at the time, Rockstar were pre-producing the alleged “Project Americas” concept or something else, Dan Houser’s comment remains painfully relevant today: reality is imitating satire to the point where it’s sometimes a carbon copy, and jokes can become unfunny within hours.

Dan Houser was clearly aware that any GTA released then – as now – would be seen in a political light by the public, and seemed a bit unwilling to handle that in the political climate from 2018. Both within the US and globally, that political climate wasn’t even as hot as the current one! I imagine Rockstar’s appetite for dealing with that particular type of mixed reception hasn’t increased dramatically since then, and that’s why I bet that most satire and mockery in GTA VI will try to avoid overtly sticking criticisms to either side of the political spectrum.

In the end, it is impossible to please everyone when it comes to making a representation of our current world that’s meant to be simultaneously realistic and satirical. The more realistic the “diorama” looks, the harder the satire hits and the more outrage it will cause. To be a commercial success of the expected size, the next GTA needs to appeal to as many people as possible; if it ends up being more muted in the political commentary, in my opinion, that won’t necessarily be a bad thing. Many use games to take a break from the more complex aspects of the real world, and if politics aren’t as obviously present in the game, maybe it will manage to be a better safe harbor for those players.

How to sell Moore copies

We have gone through a total of five releases of GTA V: first for PS3 and Xbox 360 in 2013, followed by a PS4 and Xbox One release in 2014, the first PC release in 2015, the PS5 and Xbox Series release in 2022, and the PC Enhanced version in 2025. Unfortunately for consumers, only the latter was fortunately free for owners of the previous PC release. These many re-releases certainly help explain how the game sold so many copies.

This staggered approach to multi-platform launches, particularly the PC release, has been a staple of the GTA series and Rockstar titles in general, since essentially their first games. It has been rightfully criticized by many, who claim it is mostly used to encourage players to buy the same game more than once. This is something that they may want to do for reasons other than convenience, as the later re-releases tend to contain various improvements and additional features over the initial release. Not to mention, the PC version has traditionally enabled game modding – something which I hope will remain practically possible in VI. Unofficial, unvetted modding will always be superior to whatever moderated content creation tool Rockstar might allegedly be building into GTA VI.

A decade later, it’s sufficiently evident that GTA V was held back in multiple aspects, for having initially released on the seventh console generation – that of the PS3 and 360. One of the only controversies surrounding the GTA V trailers is about the high number of trees and other vegetation showcased, that was pared back before release – perhaps to get the final product running decently. Players have also criticized the simplified physics and the not-as-destructible world elements, compared to those of the predecessor – compromises probably made to free up enough compute performance to realize new mechanics and the otherwise more detailed world. RDR 2 shows some of the aspects in which GTA V would likely have been grander, if it had released on the eighth generation exclusively.

Well over a decade passed since Moore’s law started being declared dead, and we are two console generations past the one where GTA V debuted. The increased costs of PC hardware, particularly GPUs, reflect both the increased cost of manufacturing chips on bleeding edge processes, and the increased demand for GPUs outside of the gaming segment. It is highly likely that the next console generation is going to bring less of a performance leap than prior generations, or that the current one is going to stick around for longer, or even that the next generation won’t be nearly as affordable – might the Nintendo Switch 2 pricing be an early taste of this?

My prediction is that GTA VI will age even better from a technical standpoint than V did, barring unforeseeable improvements in hardware capabilities over the next decade or so. In the graphics department, the current console generation supports just enough raytracing acceleration to justify the use of a rendering pipeline that takes advantage of it, and the hardware architectures and APIs of current consoles are very similar to what is presently available on PC. One of the main areas where GTA re-releases have presented improvements over the earlier ones is graphical fidelity, and when it comes to this aspect, I imagine that between the console release and the PC release, Rockstar won’t have to make many adjustments besides those mandated by quality control and those needed to offer additional graphical options.

As soon as a PC release is out, I believe that players who have the means to play that edition properly, tend to prefer it over the console releases. (The only reason why this wasn’t always the case with GTA V, had to do with more cheating shenanigans in Online on PC compared to consoles, but I am making the assumption that Rockstar will have that sufficiently tackled in VI). The thing about the PC platform is that it doesn’t typically make consumers buy software again in order to take advantage of hardware improvements, and therefore Rockstar’s ability to indirectly use Moore’s law to sell people new copies of the same game might be diminished, if the market share of the PC platform keeps increasing – either through conventional desktop and laptop PCs, or through the new type of handheld PCs pioneered by the Steam Deck. Fortunately, with GPU prices being the way they are, it isn’t certain that PC will keep growing, but then again – it’s also uncertain whether consoles will remain affordable.

The rumor mills of the Xbox variety suggest that Microsoft may be preparing to make it so that Xboxes are more like PCs, and at a limit I can see them becoming just Windows PCs running under a dedicated mode (possibly like the “S mode” in Windows 10 or 11), turning the Xbox brand from bespoke hardware consoles into more of a badge certain PCs can wear – much like Valve’s old concept of Steam Machines, except powered by Windows. In such a scenario, Rockstar Games would also need not re-release updated versions of titles to take advantage of new Xbox hardware, because Xbox generations as we know them today would likely cease to exist. Rather, the certification baseline (that is, the “minimum requirements”) for hardware to have that “Xbox badge” would just keep increasing. While this is relevant as far as long-term speculation goes, I wouldn’t expect such moves from Microsoft to have a meaningful impact in the launch strategy for GTA VI, certainly not for the first couple years of its life.

Regardless of the foreseeable hardware improvements, I believe it is safe to assume that a large part of the GTA VI budget must have been put into future-proofing the technical core of the game and also its user interface, such that both can better stand the test of time. It’s unlikely that the original GTA Online was planned to be maintained for over a decade, and Rockstar had to improvise some things as they went, taking care not to break the story mode and functionality like the Rockstar Editor in the process (with mixed results, I must add). There’s also a large collection of inconsistencies and small bugs which, probably, only came to be due to architectural inefficiencies.

I wonder about all the features that might have been brainstormed for GTA Online at one point and were never actually pursued, due to the game not being really prepared for them, especially on the earlier, more limited console hardware. Tenuous rumors, originating from patents filled by Rockstar, point towards the possibility of the GTA VI map receiving significant expansions, and the virtual world generally being more prepared to change over time, possibly beyond what the engines of their previous games were really designed to handle.

My personal wish is that in addition to new and refreshed locations, ideally Rockstar would have a vision for GTA VI updates that would allow the introduction of new gameplay mechanics, without them feeling tacked on. With GTA Online, we saw an interaction menu that kept increasing in complexity indefinitely, until it looked more like a debug tool, than the primary way for players to interact with so many new features. There was also the problem, since essentially day one, that content and options were spread throughout three menus (the main one, the interaction one, and the phone), hurting discoverability. At one point, Rockstar began to remove older, unpopular content in an effort to make mission selection menus more friendly – or at least that was their justification. These problems with feature interaction and content discovery are the sort of thing I hope they will definitely fix in VI.

It would also be undoubtedly cool if such updates were made available to story mode, rather than keeping the single-player content relatively frozen in time, like what happened in GTA V. For a baffling example, Rockstar added more radio stations to Online over time, and even though the first few of these additions were available to story mode, the more recently added ones aren’t. However, realistically, I only see that type of evolution happening if the single-player and multi-player modes are more intertwined in GTA VI than they were in V, and that has other implications I am not too optimistic about.

Check expectations/speculations

Why, oh why, am I doing this? I didn’t want to write a post with my bucket list for GTA VI. I really wanted to focus more on a meta-commentary of all the speculation going around. There’s still a lot to discover, or at least confirm, about their next release. I have the impression that people often tend to over-analyze the materials that have been put out – both the official and the leaked ones – and seem to forget about all the things these materials don’t show. Especially if we ignore the 2022 leaks, which are definitely very out of date by now, we know next to nothing about most of the aspects that make an action-adventure open world game, including:

• The story: we barely know anything besides the names, basic descriptions and general motivations of some of the characters, but we have no idea of whether that list of key characters is complete, nor how much of a “twist” there will be in said descriptions and motivations.
• How the storytelling will take place, from a logistical and organizational standpoint: will there be clearly defined chapters? Will we be somewhat limited in what we can do in each chapter (like in RDR 2)? Will it be a mostly linear story – as per tradition – or will it actually have more player choices with impactful consequences? Will there be meaningful secondary, perhaps optional, story arcs?
• How it will actually feel to play the game: will we feel enough freedom to ignore the story aspects and just “mess around” when we so wish? Will the game be as good of a sandbox as the predecessors? Will the missions continue to be mostly linear and relatively full of failure conditions as soon as you try to approach them in a creative way? If GTA VI is to have a more dramatic tone for its main story, will it still feel fine to cause a huge ruckus, including police shootouts? Will we continue to be able to save almost anywhere outside of missions, and spawn on the same place when reloading saves?
• What story mode activities will exist outside of the main story: besides secondary missions, will the “random” world events continue to be mostly scripted mini-missions taking place in predefined locations? What mini-games and sports activities will be at our disposal? Will we still have prop collectathons like the ones that plagued GTA V and Online?
• What Online will be like: a giant topic that we know nothing about. From what I’ve seen, most of the speculation centers around the acquisition of FiveM and one or two patents about methodology for session management (patents which, for all intents and purposes concerning any of my past or future inventions of mine or of my employers, I know nothing about). This acquisition has, sometimes, been used to argue that Rockstar will focus more on the RP style of gameplay, particularly for Online.
  • Regarding FiveM matters, I recommend everyone who is interested in this topic to read the long collection of information over at fivem.team. It’s an even longer write-up than this one, and some of it is speculative and likely biased or one-sided, but it shows receipts for many of its reveals, and it provides a unique glimpse into the somewhat secretive team that was cfx.re/FiveM prior to acquisition, and also into the small part of Rockstar involved in those matters. It is the reminder this essay is otherwise lacking, that not everything Rockstar touches is gold, in fact, it’s sometimes the contrary – and people, even inside Rockstar, have gotten hurt.
    If you, like me, thought that the illusive personality known as “NTA”/”NT Authority” was a bit… controversial, but didn’t know much beyond that, you are in for a treat that will change the way you perceive not just NTA, but also other personalities involved in different multiplayer game modding projects over the years.
• Many of the more technical aspects beyond “graphics” and “attention to detail:” what will different weather conditions look like? What’s the vehicle destruction model like? How do NPCs react to our actions? Lots of speculation going around, very little official information.

I have personal preferences and wishes regarding many of these topics, but I don’t think they quite reach the point of being expectations. Particularly when it comes to the official marketing assets released so far, people tend to read between the lines, extrapolate a bit more, and then set expectations that may not be realized. Motivating these thoughts and discussions is pretty much the point of releasing such materials, but when it comes to a highly anticipated title like this one, the speculation reaches levels that, in my opinion, probably go a bit beyond what’s desired by the game publisher.

In this age of review bombing, “influencers,” instant communication, decent refund systems (in decent stores/jurisdictions), which make first perceptions matter more than any retrospective, no reputable publisher would want the first reaction from players to be one of disappointment, especially when the game in question is all everyone in this space will be talking about during its release month – making it so that any disappointing aspects would be endlessly parroted. With the massive anticipation for GTA VI and the budget behind it, a final product that clearly doesn’t match what is in the trailers, or which is otherwise troubled – like Cyberpunk 2077 was at launch – would not just cause enough damage to the GTA and Rockstar brands to trigger a sell-off of the TTWO shares; it could very well cause another video games industry crash.

I’ve been mostly dismissing the opinions of those who seem convinced that the GTA VI trailers are all a great con; that Rockstar is attempting to replicate Ubisoft’s “success” when the latter showed trailers for the original Watch Dogs, that greatly misrepresented different aspects of what the final product would be like on contemporary hardware, particularly when it came to graphics. I can’t come up with a good reason why Rockstar would consciously opt for this strategy: any benefits of doing so (like increased day one sales) look like they’d be completely undone by the aforementioned reputational hit (which could have impacts over the intended multi-year lifespan of the game, particularly the multiplayer portion). But then again, with the amount of games that seem to release nowadays in a bit of a bad quality control and performance state, I definitely see where some of the worries come from.

Rockstar has historically produced final products that exceed the earlier marketing previews in most aspects, products which tend to be extremely competent in both the technical and artistic departments. However, the great debacle of the “Trilogy Remaster” – about which I could easily write its own entire essay – has understandably soured many people’s mouths, including mine. I am absolutely convinced that the technical story for GTA VI will have nothing to do with that, and will be in line with Rockstar’s usual form, the one that squeezed GTA V into the PS3 without making the type of haphazard compromises that Ubisoft had to make to squeeze the first Watch Dogs into the same console. Briefly, the reasons: there are orders of magnitude more technical effort behind GTA VI than behind the infamous remasters; the remasters were not a flagship product the way an original new game is (they always felt to me like more of a cash grab attempt); the remasters were handled by a quasi-external studio, unlike VI which is the current priority of essentially all of Rockstar’s studios working in tandem; the remasters had to preserve much of the behavior of two decades old code and integrate it into a modern engine, while VI will be no such frankenstein. And finally: I highly doubt they’d run the risk of fumbling two major releases in a row.

So I do indeed have some baseline expectations for what GTA VI will be like – as the title of this essay indicates, I expect it to be a masterpiece. I just try not to have too many expectations about the specifics of what such will entail. To not have expectations is even better, and easier, than to keep them all in check – a wild thing for someone who’s mainly writing speculation to say, I know. Trying to have this sense of detachment makes the wait for the final product definitely more boring, and can easily come across as pessimism. At the same time, I don’t want to completely ignore everything leading up to the moment I play the game, especially when that would require that I stop following the news and discussions about topics that interest me a lot, for years!

My initial contacts with the first GTA I played by myself, GTA V, took place well after its launch. Prior to playing it, I hadn’t consumed any of its promotional materials, read any of the anticipatory discussions, not even any post-release reviews. This was because I only really started playing such major game releases when I finally put together a sufficiently powerful PC in the latter half of the last decade, and prior to that, I really didn’t care that much about games. I was obviously aware that GTA V was a major best-selling release – hence why it was one of the first games I played on that PC. Still, I had no expectations besides the general idea of what GTA gameplay vaguely looked like, mostly from seeing colleagues play very butchered versions of GTA: SA on school computers, nearly a decade earlier.

In retrospective, and having now looked at its promotional materials and knowing more about all the pre-launch anticipation and speculation, I think that being able to dive into GTA V from a point of nearly-zero knowledge was a better experience than if I had eagerly awaited the game for years. I can’t quite explain why I feel this, but I wonder if this is why, besides pure nostalgia, many people prefer the first GTA they played? Or even the first open-world action-adventure game in the same genre as GTA? Because they went into it with fewer expectations and “dreams,” not even those originating from playing a different game in the same genre, and therefore had more jaw-dropping, mind-opening or just plain fun moments than they would otherwise?

I suppose I am trying to balance the way I experienced GTA V, and later other games by Rockstar, with the natural excitement stemming from wanting more of what I liked about these games, and with my interest in the extremely long development cycle of VI. I know I will be diving into it with more expectations and more of a wishlist than I ever had for any game in its genre, but I also know I will be nearly a decade older than I was during my first V playthrough… I have different opinions now, and much more experience with the games medium, so the circumstances would be different anyway. And following the trailers, and a bit of the speculation, does indeed make the wait less boring, even if it may ultimately make the actual final product more disappointing.

Shielding ourselves from marketing materials, fan theories, and general news about an upcoming major release is difficult once we have an interest in that particular type of game, and we are bound to create expectations, so the next best option is to keep them in check, becoming prepared for small disappointments in certain aspects. I think that some people are unable to do this in their thoughts alone, and as a way to cool themselves down, overcompensate in the “pessimist” direction and end up claiming that the trailers are “faked” in some way, for instance. Clearly, I too was unable to quietly calm my expectations, as I couldn’t forego writing this essay, indulging in speculation as I went. I’m convinced this is, above all else, a coping mechanism.

The largest ever (s)cope

Regardless of being impatient about the release of a sequel to a favorite piece of media, dreaming about what we would(n’t) like it to be helps us understand and refine our personal taste, guiding our exploration of the medium. This is also true for games, and for the GTA franchise in particular, it feels necessary. With Rockstar taking more and more time between game releases, even though such releases have enormous amounts of content to explore, people who enjoy open-world action-adventure games eventually feel compelled to explore other games, from other developers.

The exposition to the original ideas present in other games can reflect back on the way we perceived our favorites. It adds more points to the fuzzy cloud of things (mechanics, plot points, even more minute things like soundtrack ideas!) that we consider for inclusion in the imagined sequels to our favorites. It can also expose some flaws and clichés of our favorites, that we would otherwise not notice – but that only makes us yearn more for a fresh sequel, that will hopefully improve on those aspects!

Besides being harmless pastimes, speculating and developing theories about secretive upcoming titles can be an avenue for us to rationalize our wishes for them, to try to make our wishes fit in the reality of what is progressively divulged about them. I imagine these activities are most often associated with happy emotions, but they can also be ways to deal with a subconscious fear that the end product may not completely be to our liking.

I think it’s natural to wish for a sequel that matches our preferences even better than the original did, such that the sequel becomes our new favorite, or at least, one of our favorites. And when it comes to Rockstar games, if GTA VI in particular isn’t sufficiently to my liking, then I already know I’m probably not seeing a new GTA in a decade, at least… and with the way the genre is going, it’s unlikely any other developer will create a game with an equally impressive scope (CDPR with Cyberpunk 2, maybe?). So I definitely worry that GTA VI will miss the mark from the point of view of my personal, subjective, specific taste. Actually, I often paint the worst pictures in my mind (PC release not coming before 2030! No mods! Mandatory anticheat even for story mode! Shark cards in story mode!), but that’s definitely more of a “me” thing.

As someone who is quite interested in how these large projects come to be, my GTA VI daydreaming is often not so much about what the end product will be like, but about the processes that led to it becoming what it will be. This is definitely not an uncommon thing – there are plenty of communities centered around datamining specific games, sailing for evidence of cut content, beta builds, early concepts, etc., all in hopes of understanding how these products become the way they do, perhaps understanding why some of the things we most awaited in a game didn’t end up making the cut. Post-release, we seek this understanding, not to rationalize our anxiety about what an upcoming game will be like, but more to perhaps calm our subconscious disappointment over why it didn’t completely turn out the way we envisioned.

In this sense, I look forward to the small disappointments of GTA VI as much as I look forward to its jaw-dropping moments, and I’m definitely eager to learn more about its development history. We still don’t have a super clear picture of GTA V’s production process, after over a decade and multiple significant leaks, including that of the full source code. It is therefore probable that VI’s history will remain elusive for just as long. I’m sure that, while still in development, GTA VI already has a more interesting development timeline than most games made before: bigger budget, bigger wait, bigger scope, bigger drama – and more coping from fans than ever before, as we wait for, hopefully, the 26th of May 2026. Still, Rockstar Games could have it worse: they could have the mission of making a Minecraft sequel.